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## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #25 – 2015-09-26 10:13:49
I still much prefer (but hey, it ain't my call):

"Probability that you can do the same or better by flipping a coin:"

It makes perfect sense for all possible scores (0/N, 1/N ... N/N).

...because that is essentially the definition of the value...expressed in lay terms.

Agree. I have proposed similar (i.e. compare to coinflipping) before. E.g.
"p-value (i.e. the chance to achieve the same score or better by tossing a coin): ",

but one can rewrite it at the risk of introducing less-than-neutral wording:

"Total: 9/13, p=0.133.
Your score would beat 87 out of 100 coin-tossers. To be confident that you are better than the coin, a common statistical threshold is 95."

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## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #26 – 2015-09-26 14:48:49
probability the same as random choice
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?  ;~)

## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #27 – 2015-09-26 15:07:19
How would that better explain a pval of 100% for 0/16 than "Probability that you were guessing" which is currently in place?
Is 24-bit/192kHz good enough for your lo-fi vinyl, or do you need 32/384?

## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #28 – 2015-09-26 20:03:43
Probability that you can do the same or better by flipping a coin

the chance to achieve the same score or better by tossing a coin

I like that yours is more concise.  Combining the two:
Chance to do the same or better by flipping a coin

Your score would  beat 87 out of 100 coin-tossers.
beat?
tosser?
Is 24-bit/192kHz good enough for your lo-fi vinyl, or do you need 32/384?

## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #29 – 2015-09-26 21:34:57
What's wrong with beating tossers?
"I hear it when I see it."

## What does probability that your guessing mean?

##### Reply #30 – 2015-09-26 21:46:50
I suppose it depends on when and where and whether there was consent if more than one party was involved.
Is 24-bit/192kHz good enough for your lo-fi vinyl, or do you need 32/384?